Logic of War

What Syria says about Russia as a great power

Zelensky interview, Oreshnik missile, and the frontline

What is a long-range missile? – The hysteria about ATACMS and Storm Shadow

Hello, Lately there has been a lot of focus on missiles. Ukraine finally got permission to use ATACMS and Storm Shadow/SCALP missiles to hit targets in Russia, and Russia responded by demonstrating an intermediate range ballistic missile in Ukraine. In the midst of all that, there has also been

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What will ATACMS mean for Ukraine?

Twitter and responsible social media

Hello. This video is quite different from what I usually do. I discuss the dramatic exodus from Twitter that has happened over the last week and what it means to be a responsible social media company. Twitter has been instrumental as a tool for misinformation in recent years, and I

In the Bunker with Darth Putin

Many people know the parody social media account Darth Putin, but fewer are aware that he also has a YouTube channel where he does long-form interviews with guests about Russia and the war. I was lucky to be invited into the bunker for a conversation with Darth and his assistant

What will Trump's victory mean for Ukraine?

Hello, In this video, I give my quick assessment of how Trump's election victory might impact the war in Ukraine. Trump has stated clearly that he wants to stop the war, but I think the important thing is that we consider why he wants the war to stop.

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The Russian war economy is a bubble waiting to burst

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Maybe we can make a Ukraine strategy after the election

Ukraine

Nuclear weapons and security guarantees for Ukraine

Hello, In this video, I discuss the types of security guarantees that Ukraine will need after the war and why it's important for the West to understand this if we want the war to end. I explain this in terms of military deterrence, and I also discuss the

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Ukraine's plan for victory and the lack of Western strategy

Attrition is beginning to bite

Hello, I just released a video where I discuss the fact that we are now at a point in the war where attrition is really beginning to show its consequences. There is a plethora of news stories right now about how things are tough in Ukraine or how Russia'

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Why did experts overestimate Russia's military?

Why did experts fail to predict Russia's invasion of Ukraine?

Hello, In this video, I discuss why so many experts failed to accurately predict the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Most experts at the time were saying that it was very unlikely that Russia would invade Ukraine. Of those who did foresee an invasion, many dramatically overestimated the capabilities

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Don't forget the agency of small states

Russia's war economy is unsustainable

Hello. In this video I discuss the Russian war economy. It is a myth that Russia has endless resources and will inevitably win over Ukraine in a long war of attrition. In reality the Russian economy is struggling, and personally I think we will look back at the war some

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Ammunition depots and the strategic value of ranged attacks

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Russia now attacks cargo ships in the Black Sea

Why is NATO not responding to Russian provocations?

Hello all, It looks like Russia has intensified their hybrid campaign against the West, and recently there have also been several examples of violations of NATO airspace with Russian drones. However, the Western response remains remarkably calm. In this video, which I published earlier in the week, I discuss why

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Will the war spread to Belarus?

Frontline update video – september 2024

Hello. I just released a new video where I try to give an overview of the frontline situation. I focus on Kursk, Donetsk, and the strategic air campaign. The most important point is probably that I think much of the news reporting on the Russian progress against Pokrovsk is bordering

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Why does the Russian military trust Telegram?

Ukraine can face a bigger Russian army

Hello all. I have released this new video where I discuss what the Russian reaction will be to Ukraine's incursion into Kursk. Putin faces a big dilemma, and he desperately needs more soldiers to deal with a much longer frontline. The most likely scenario is that he will

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Did the U.S. approve of Ukraine's plans to attack Kursk?

Ukraine's attack into the Kursk region

Hello, I just released this video about Ukraine's incursion into Russia's Kursk region. It's a development that has left many people confused and we still don't have a complete picture of what's going on. In this video I offer some