Ukraine

A collection of 47 posts

Ukraine

Appearance with UNITED24

Hello all, I joined the podcast of UNITED24 Media for a conversation about the war in Ukraine, the ongoing peace talks, and what victory might look like for Ukraine. UNITED24 is a Ukrainian government platform, and I found it interesting that they felt the need to label on the screen

Ukraine Featured

Reflections from Kyiv

Hello, I just returned from a trip to Ukraine, and in this video I share some of my observations and reflections. The topics include the mood in the city, the view on the war, corruption, and the need to support Ukraine's civil society and democratic institutions after the

Ukraine

Ukraine leaves Kursk — What did they achieve?

Hello, After seven months, Russia has finally managed to push the Ukrainian forces out of the Kursk region. In this video I summarize Ukraine's goals with the mission and discuss whether they achieved what they wanted. Watch the video here or read a transcript below. Best, Anders Transcript:

Ukraine

Trump humiliates Zelensky to save his doomed peace process

Hello, In this video, I share my thoughts on the disastrous meeting between Zelensky and Trump at the White House. Trump is beginning to realize that his peace plan is failing, and he attempted to bully Zelensky into submission. It didn't work. Watch the video here or read

Ukraine Featured

Minerals deal shows that peace negotiations will be hard for Trump

Hello, Here are my thoughts on the mineral deal between Ukraine and the United States. The current text is clearly more of a victory for Ukraine than for Donald Trump, but the details will be agreed upon in a separate agreement later. Watch the video on the website or read

Ukraine Featured

Ukraine is less dependent on U.S. weapons than Trump thinks

Hello, It is dramatic times, and the negotiations between the U.S. and Russia in Saudi Arabia have turned many things upside down about the war in Ukraine. Here are my thoughts about why Ukraine is less dependent on American weapons than many people – including the American president – believe. And

Ukraine

Peace talks will take a long time

Hello, There is a lot of discussion about peace talks after Trump's inauguration, but unfortunately there is little room for optimism. The military conditions are simply not present for a deal at this point. It is therefore important to remember that peace negotiations can take a very long

Ukraine Featured

How many Ukrainian soldiers have been killed in the war?

In the fall, the Wall Street Journal published an article citing undisclosed sources, stating that there are 80,000 dead Ukrainian soldiers in the war with Russia so far. That's a very big number. If we use the typical rule of thumb that there are three wounded soldiers

Ukraine

What is Russia's plan for victory?

Hello, In this video I discuss how Russia can achieve their war aims through peace negotiations. Many people in the West have a simplistic idea of what the war is about, and therefore they focus on the wrong issues in discussions about possible peace plans. This is a weakness that

Ukraine Featured

What will ATACMS mean for Ukraine?

Yesterday marked the 1000th day of the war, and Ukraine commemorated the day by using ATACMS missiles in Russia for the first time. It appears that a weapons storage facility in the Bryansk Oblast has been hit. According to the Russians, the attack was a failure because all six missiles

Ukraine

Nuclear weapons and security guarantees for Ukraine

Hello, In this video, I discuss the types of security guarantees that Ukraine will need after the war and why it's important for the West to understand this if we want the war to end. I explain this in terms of military deterrence, and I also discuss the

Ukraine Featured

Ukraine's plan for victory and the lack of Western strategy

Over the past month, there has been a lot of talk about the Ukrainian plan for victory that President Zelensky has presented to Western leaders during visits to the United States and European capitals. There’s been much speculation about the contents of the plan, but yesterday some of the

Russia Featured

Will the war spread to Belarus?

Since Ukraine’s offensive in Kursk, there has been a lot of speculation about the potential of Belarus becoming an active part in the war. Belarus deployed more forces to the border with Ukraine, and the Ukrainian foreign ministry reacted with some unusually strong warnings. The message was that Ukraine

Ukraine Featured

Ukraine gives up on crossing the Dnipro – for now at least

This week, news came out that the Ukrainians are leaving Krynky. This is a city on the left (Russian controlled) side of the Dnipro River, where they have been trying to establish a foothold since around November. It is a significant announcement, and to some extent it is the end

Ukraine Featured

An effective air defense for Ukraine

The terrible airstrikes on Ukrainian cities on Monday that also hit a pediatric hospital has again raised the question of how to improve the air defenses so such things can’t happen. Unfortunately, no air defense system is flawless, and it will never be possible to reduce the number of

United States Featured

The problem with Donald Trump's peace plan for Ukraine

In 2019, President Trump suggested that the United States should buy Greenland from Denmark. When asked to explain the proposal, Donald Trump said that he saw it as “a large real estate deal”, and that it would make strategic sense for the United States to take over the ownership of

Russia

Putin still wants total control over Ukraine

In this video I look at Putin's so-called peace plan. Most commentators have reacted to the tangible and frankly outrageous demands that Putin has come up with just to begin negotiations with Ukraine, but I think the most important story is that he also reiterated the original war

Ukraine

Escalation management and Biden’s strategy for Ukraine

In this video I discuss Joe Biden's strategy for the war Ukraine. On the one hand, the American president is one of the staunchest supporters of Ukraine, and the United States has provided crucial military support to enable Ukraine to fight the war. On the other hand, the

United States

US weapons will give Russia significant problems

President Biden's decision to allow Ukraine to strike inside Russia with American weapons is extremely significant. There are still restrictions on what Ukraine can do, but it will give the Russians a lot of problems even with the current rules. And just as importantly, the taboo about making

Russia Featured

Why is Ukraine hitting Russia's nuclear warning systems?

Over the last week, Ukraine has struck two strategic early warning radar installations in Russia, and it has led to a lot of discussion about the purpose. These radars are an essential element in Russia’s nuclear defense system, and some people in the West have become worried that this

Russia Featured

A Kharkiv counteroffensive 2.0?

In this week’s video I talked about Russia’s new Kharkiv offensive, and it’s fair to say that I was skeptical about the brilliance of this idea. Some people reached out to me because they felt I was too dismissive of the threat of a Russian breakthrough over

Russia

Russia's Kharkiv offensive – what is the plan?

Russia has launched an offensive into the Kharkiv region, and it is the first time in a long time that there is a significantly new vector of attack on the frontline. But at the same time, it is unclear what Russia is trying to achieve. Much of the media has